| アイテムタイプ |
デフォルトアイテムタイプ（フル）その２(1) |
| 公開日 |
2017-05-20 |
| タイトル |
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タイトル |
Macroeconomic Impacts of Aging in Japan on the Balance of Current Accounts |
|
言語 |
en |
| 作成者 |
伊藤, 隆敏
釣, 雅雄
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| 寄与者 |
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寄与者タイプ |
Editor |
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|
姓名 |
世代間問題研究プロジェクト（世代間利害調整） = Setting Options for Fair Distribution of Well-being among Different Generations, Project on Intergenerational Equity |
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言語 |
en |
| アクセス権 |
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|
アクセス権 |
open access |
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アクセス権URI |
http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2 |
| 内容記述 |
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内容記述タイプ |
Other |
|
内容記述 |
March 2002; September 2, 2003 (Last Revised) |
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言語 |
en |
| 内容記述 |
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内容記述タイプ |
Abstract |
|
内容記述 |
This paper investigates questions regarding the saving rates by age brackets and aggregate savings, and then conducts a simulation analysis of the current account, from the I-S balances of households, corporations and the government. Saving rates of the old (65 years old and above) with publicly available data are high because of a selection bias in household head, that excludes the old living with younger family members and being non-head of the household. The paper estimates the true saving rates by age brackets rather than of household head's age brackets with taking the non-head households' member into account. Estimated saving rates of the old are still positive (about 10% to 20% which are less than those of the young) even after adjusting for the bias. The impact of aging on the aggregate saving rates will not be large if the future old people continue to save as the current old people. We forecast the current account in several scenarios, using data of demographic changes, the estimated aggregate saving rates, and the estimated interest payments of government bonds. It is of our particular interest whether the current account will turn to be negative by the rapid demographic change. It is found that the IS balances would remain positive under a condition that the government bond issues would be constrained by fiscal sustainability. |
| 出版者 |
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出版者 |
Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University |
| 日付 |
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|
日付 |
2003-09 |
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日付タイプ |
Issued |
| 言語 |
|
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言語 |
eng |
| 資源タイプ |
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|
資源タイプ識別子 |
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_18gh |
|
資源タイプ |
technical report |
| 出版タイプ |
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|
出版タイプ |
VoR |
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出版タイプResource |
http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85 |
| 関連情報 |
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|
関連タイプ |
isPartOf |
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関連名称 |
Discussion Paper ; No. 170 |
| 関連情報 |
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|
識別子タイプ |
URI |
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|
関連識別子 |
http://www.ier.hit-u.ac.jp/pie/stage1/Japanese/top.html |
| 収録物識別子 |
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収録物識別子タイプ |
NCID |
|
収録物識別子 |
AA11851730 |
| ページ数 |
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ページ数 |
45 |
| Sponsorship |
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|
値 |
科学研究費補助金（特定領域研究） = Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research on Priority Areas |
pie_dp170.pdf (349356 bytes)
